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Putting the Brakes on the Breakthrough Part I*

brakes on the ‘breakthrough’ I am going to post a FIRST draft (for a brief presentation next week in Madrid).  [I thank David Cox for the idea!] I expect errors, and I will be very grateful for...

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Part II: Breaking Through the Breakthrough* (please start with Dec 6 post)

This is a first draft of part II of the presentation begun in the December 6 blog post.  This completes the proposed presentation. I expecterrors, and I will be grateful for feedback! (NOTE: I did not...

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Midnight With Birnbaum

You know how in that recent movie, “Midnight in Paris,” the main character (I forget who plays it, I saw it on a plane) is a writer finishing a novel, and he steps into a cab that mysteriously picks...

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Likelihood Links [for 28 Nov. Seminar and Current U-Phil]

Dear Reader: We just arrived in London[i][ii]. Jean Miller has put together some materials for Birnbaum LP aficionados in connection with my 28 November seminar. Great to have ready links to some of...

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Don’t Birnbaumize that experiment my friend*–updated reblog

Our current topic, the strong likelihood principle (SLP), was recently mentioned by blogger Christian Robert (nice diagram). So ,since it’s Saturday night, and given the new law just passed in the...

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Midnight With Birnbaum-reblog

 Reblogging Dec. 31, 2011: You know how in that recent movie, “Midnight in Paris,” the main character (I forget who plays it, I saw it on a plane) is a writer finishing a novel, and he steps into a cab...

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U-Phil: Ton o’ Bricks

by Deborah Mayo Birnbaum’s argument for the SLP involves some equivocations that are at once subtle and blatant. The subtlety makes it hard to translate into symbolic logic (I only partially translated...

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U-Phil: Mayo’s response to Hennig and Gandenberger

brakes on the ‘breakthrough’ “This will be my last post on the (irksome) Birnbaum argument!” she says with her fingers (or perhaps toes) crossed. But really, really it is (at least until midnight...

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Blogging (flogging?) the SLP: Response to Reply- Xi’an Robert

Breaking through “the breakthrough” Christian Robert’s reply grows out of my last blogpost. On Xi’an’s Og : A quick reply from my own Elba, in the Dolomiti: your arguments (about the sad consequences...

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Gandenberger: How to Do Philosophy That Matters (guest post)

Greg Gandenberger                              Philosopher of Science University of Pittsburgh gandenberger.org...

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Forthcoming paper on the strong likelihood principle

My paper, “On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle” has been accepted by Statistical Science. The latest version is here. (It differs from all versions posted anywhere). If you...

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 2 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. There are a couple of brief (12/31/13)...

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Putting the brakes on the breakthrough: An informal look at the argument for...

. Friday, May 2, 2014, I will attempt to present my critical analysis of the Birnbaum argument for the (strong) Likelihood Principle, so as to be accessible to a general philosophy audience (flyer...

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Allan Birnbaum, Philosophical Error Statistician: 27 May 1923 – 1 July 1976

27 May 1923-   1 July 1976 Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference” is in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993).  I’ve a hunch...

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Statistical Science: The Likelihood Principle issue is out…!

Abbreviated Table of Contents: Here are some items for your Saturday-Sunday reading.  Link to complete discussion:  Mayo, Deborah G. On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Principle (with...

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 3 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m.*,just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”. I...

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“Intentions” is the new code word for “error probabilities”: Allan Birnbaum’s...

27 May 1923-1 July 1976 Today is Allan Birnbaum’s Birthday. Birnbaum’s (1962) classic “On the Foundations of Statistical Inference,” in Breakthroughs in Statistics (volume I 1993), concerns a principle...

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year)

 Just as in the past 4 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m., just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”....

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year 2016)

 Just as in the past 5 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m., just outside the Elbar Room, get into a strange-looking taxi, and head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”....

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Midnight With Birnbaum (Happy New Year 2017)

 Just as in the past 6 years since I’ve been blogging, I revisit that spot in the road at 11p.m., just outside the Elbar Room, look to get into a strange-looking taxi, to head to “Midnight With...

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